lobal Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI)
Our index integrates transportation cost data and manufacturing indicators to provide a gauge of global supply chain conditions.
팬데믹 이후 발생한 세계 공급망 혼란은 뉴욕 연은이 관련 지표를 발표하게끔 함.
Supply chain disruptions have become a major challenge for the global economy since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. Assessing the intensity of these issues has also posed a challenge, as conventional measures tend to focus on specific dimensions of global supply chains.
1997년부터 공급망 압력 데이터를 추적하여 평균값을 0으로 보고 평균에서 떨어진 표준편차로 측정
평균값 0을 기준으로 값이 커질수록 공급망 압력이 증가하고 값이 작아질수록 공급망 압력이 감소
발트해 건조 지수(Baltic Dry Index, BDI), Harpex 지수, PMI 등운 송 및 제조 부문의 데이터를 참고하여 뉴욕 연방 준비 은행에서 매월 네 번째 영업일에 발표
여러 지수를 통합하여 만든 지수이므로 데이터 신뢰성 검증이 어렵고 비교 데이터가 없다는 한계점
Our goal in constructing the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI) was to develop a parsimonious measure of global supply chain pressures that could be used to gauge the importance of supply constraints with respect to economic outcomes. Our research indicates, for example, that changes in the GSCPI are associated with goods and producer price inflation in the United States and the euro area, both during the pandemic period and stretching back to 1997 (the starting point of our data set).
The GSCPI integrates a number of commonly used metrics with the aim of providing a comprehensive summary of potential supply chain disruptions. Global transportation costs are measured by employing data from the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) and the Harpex index, as well as airfreight cost indices from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The GSCPI also uses several supply chain-related components from Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) surveys, focusing on manufacturing firms across seven interconnected economies: China, the euro area, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
We update the GSCPI at or shortly after 10:00 a.m. on the fourth business day of each month.
금년 2월말 기준, 공급망 압력은 해소.
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